Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.84
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
11%
4.91
X/2
10%
7.18
X/X
11%
4.83
2/1
11%
24.0
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grimsby Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Bromley EU Bookmakers 32%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
1.33/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.64
-18% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
276 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 65%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
21.6 Crosses 13.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grimsby Town
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Bromley
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2022 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
28.09.2021 Bromley Bromley 3-1 HT 0-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
09.02.2016 Bromley Bromley 1-2 HT 1-1 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town İBSL
15.08.2015 Grimsby Town Grimsby Town 4-1 HT 3-1 Bromley Bromley İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grimsby Town
1-0
AWAY Bromley
1.84 xG 1.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
197 Passes 185
69% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grimsby Town vs Bromley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grimsby Town edged past Bromley 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grimsby Town had 50% of the ball to Bromley's 50%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.84 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Grimsby Town and 1.75 for Bromley.

What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Bromley?

Grimsby Town 1-0 Bromley in the England - 2nd Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Bromley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 42%, draw 28%, Bromley 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grimsby Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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