AFC Sudbury 2-2 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
15%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.58/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.03
+10% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
1W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Telford United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
09.03.2024 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
24.02.2024 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 3-2 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury and AFC Telford United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Telford United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Sudbury and 1.50 for AFC Telford United.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United?

AFC Sudbury 2-2 AFC Telford United in the England - Non League Premier on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 29%, draw 28%, AFC Telford United 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Telford United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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