Aubstadt 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.4pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+11.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-11.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.29
-22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Aschaffenburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.10.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
20.08.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
27.11.2021 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
03.08.2021 Aubstadt Aubstadt 4-0 HT 3-0 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Viktoria Aschaffenburg Viktoria Aschaffenburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt and Viktoria Aschaffenburg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aubstadt and 1.00 for Viktoria Aschaffenburg.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Aubstadt 1-1 Viktoria Aschaffenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Viktoria Aschaffenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aubstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 36%, draw 34%, Viktoria Aschaffenburg 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aubstadt), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aubstadt) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
21 Sep 2024
00:00 Düren Merzenich vs Uerdingen Analysis →
14:00 Luckenwalde vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
14:00 Chemnitzer FC vs Hertha Zehlendorf Analysis →
15:00 Köln II vs FC Bocholt Analysis →
15:00 Homburg vs Astoria Walldorf Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg Analysis →