Augsburg II 1-3 Würzburger Kickers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
27%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
33%
Draw
25%
+8.6pp
27%
Away Win
40%
-13.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg II EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Würzburger Kickers EU Bookmakers 45%
+17% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.12/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.73
+44% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Würzburger Kickers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Augsburg II Augsburg II 0-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers HAZ
04.11.2023 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 6-2 HT 1-1 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
28.07.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 0-2 HT 0-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Augsburg II Augsburg II 1-3 HT 0-1 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers ALMBÖL
24.09.2022 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 6-3 HT 4-2 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
06.05.2015 Würzburger Kickers Würzburger Kickers 3-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg II Augsburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Augsburg II vs Würzburger Kickers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Würzburger Kickers beat Augsburg II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 27%) promised a tight game; Würzburger Kickers found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Würzburger Kickers led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Augsburg II and 3.50 for Würzburger Kickers.

What was the final score of Augsburg II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Augsburg II 1-3 Würzburger Kickers in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg II vs Würzburger Kickers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Augsburg II 39%, draw 33%, Würzburger Kickers 27%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Augsburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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