Eintracht Bamberg 1-3 Ansbach 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
40%
+7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
35%
-8.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.6pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eintracht Bamberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansbach 09 EU Bookmakers 39%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.37/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.84
-15% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eintracht Bamberg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ansbach 09
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
11.11.2023 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 0-0 HT 0-0 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Eintracht Bamberg Eintracht Bamberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Ansbach 09 Ansbach 09 ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eintracht Bamberg vs Ansbach 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansbach 09 saw off Eintracht Bamberg 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Eintracht Bamberg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ansbach 09 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Eintracht Bamberg and 0.50 for Ansbach 09.

What was the final score of Eintracht Bamberg vs Ansbach 09?

Eintracht Bamberg 1-3 Ansbach 09 in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eintracht Bamberg vs Ansbach 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eintracht Bamberg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eintracht Bamberg 48%, draw 26%, Ansbach 09 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Bamberg) ✗ BTTS No
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