21/09/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Villingen vs FC Giessen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
30%
Draw
25%
37%
Away Win
33%
52%
Under 2.5
46%
48%
Over 2.5
54%
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
49%
BTTS No
43%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Villingen v FC Giessen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Villingen
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Giessen
EU Bookmakers 37%
+50% /
+50%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+2% /
+2%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.98/0.98
+24%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-33%
/
+52%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
331 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
4.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Villingen vs FC Giessen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Villingen and FC Giessen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Villingen vs FC Giessen?
Villingen 1-1 FC Giessen in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Villingen vs FC Giessen?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Giessen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villingen 33%, draw 30%, FC Giessen 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Giessen) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Giessen)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ALMBÖL
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21 Sep 2024