Vilzing 2-2 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
47%
-2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vilzing EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.30/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.01
-5% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
202 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vilzing
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2 Corners 8
04.11.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilzing Vilzing ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Vilzing Vilzing 2-1 HT 2-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Vilzing vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vilzing and Bayreuth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vilzing had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vilzing and 0.50 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Vilzing vs Bayreuth?

Vilzing 2-2 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vilzing vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Vilzing 32%, draw 23%, Bayreuth 44%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayreuth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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