Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

Bournemouth
0-0 HT 0-0
Newcastle United
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.29
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
10%
12.1
X/1
11%
5.33
X/2
12%
6.4
X/X
13%
4.39
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
16%
4.38
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.5pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bournemouth v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.58/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.42
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.8 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bournemouth
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Newcastle United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.90 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
235 Passes 391
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-4 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
25.08.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.02.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
11.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
11.02.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
20.12.2022 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-0 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNLK

Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bournemouth
0-0
AWAY Newcastle United
0.46 xG 0.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
409 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Newcastle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth and Newcastle United fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Bournemouth had 56% of the ball to Newcastle United's 44%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 0.46 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bournemouth and 1.00 for Newcastle United.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?

Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Newcastle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 36%, draw 30%, Newcastle United 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bournemouth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Under 2.5
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