Inter 2-1 Sassuolo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Sep 2025

Inter
2-1 HT 1-0
Sassuolo
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Inter vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
67%
1.33
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
2.38
Over
64%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.82
No
42%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.72
2-3
37%
1.9
4-5
29%
2.67
6+
17%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.54
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
18.7
X/1
15%
3.85
X/2
5%
16.45
X/X
8%
7.56
2/1 ✗
14%
20.4
2/2
6%
13.5
2/X
6%
21.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 14% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Inter v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Inter The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo The Market 15%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.14
0.89 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.87
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Weak
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
23.7 Crosses 13.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Inter vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Sassuolo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.69 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
482 Passes 343
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2024 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
27.09.2023 Inter Inter 1-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
13.05.2023 Inter Inter 4-2 HT 1-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
29.12.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter HAZ
08.10.2022 Sassuolo Sassuolo 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
20.02.2022 Inter Inter 0-2 HT 0-2 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA

Inter 2-1 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-1
AWAY Sassuolo
1.89 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
433 Passes 257
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
45 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Inter vs Sassuolo
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter found just enough to beat Sassuolo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came home.

Under the surface, possession split 61% to 39% in Inter's favour, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.89 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Inter against 1.33 for Sassuolo.

Inter vs Sassuolo Result & Final Score

Inter 2-1 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Sassuolo Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Inter 67%, draw 18%, Sassuolo 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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