Fiorentina 1-2 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Sep 2025

Fiorentina
1-2 HT 1-0
Como
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.78
Over
51%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.74
No
45%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2.95
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
22%
3.65
6+
9%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.68
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.55
X/2
11%
5.81
X/X
12%
4.27
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
10%
3.96
2/X
8%
12.65
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Fiorentina v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Fiorentina The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Como The Market 37%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.69 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.92
1.25 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.17
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
20.0 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Fiorentina vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Como
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.54 xG 0.96
46% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
334 Passes 398
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-2 HT 0-1 Como Como İTA
24.11.2024 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
27.03.2004 Como Como 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTB
02.11.2003 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB

Fiorentina 1-2 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
1-2
AWAY Como
0.49 xG 1.25
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
241 Passes 426
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Fiorentina vs Como
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Como found just enough to beat Fiorentina 2-1 on the road. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.

A gentle 43% lean on Fiorentina didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Fiorentina had 39% of the ball to Como's 61%, shots finished 8-19, expected goals 0.49 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Fiorentina and 0.50 for Como.

Fiorentina vs Como Result & Final Score

Fiorentina 1-2 Como in the Italy - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina vs Como Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 43%, draw 27%, Como 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fiorentina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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