Torino 0-3 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.78
Over
45%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.0
2-3
40%
1.74
4-5
21%
3.59
6+
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.0 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.74
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
9%
7.66
X/2
16%
4.81
X/X
16%
4.24
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.74
2/X
8%
12.05
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Torino The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta The Market 49%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
0.98 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.58
1.40 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.07
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Great Defensevs comparable teams Strong
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.2
18.7 Crosses 18.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atalanta
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.08 xG 2.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
398 Passes 361
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Atalanta Atalanta 1-1 HT 1-1 Torino Torino İTA
25.08.2024 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 1-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
26.05.2024 Atalanta Atalanta 3-0 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTA
04.12.2023 Torino Torino 3-0 HT 1-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
29.04.2023 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
01.09.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 3-1 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
0-3
AWAY Atalanta
1.20 xG 1.66
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 0
324 Passes 541
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 10
REVIEW Torino vs Atalanta
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atalanta overpowered Torino 3-0 away from home.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta saw more of the ball, 61% to 39%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.20 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atalanta led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Torino against 1.67 for Atalanta.

Torino vs Atalanta Result & Final Score

Torino 0-3 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Torino vs Atalanta Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Torino 25%, draw 31%, Atalanta 44%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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