Vikingur R. 2-1 Fram Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.89
2-3 Goals
35%
2.03
4-5 Goals
30%
2.4
6+ Goals
15%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.0pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.8pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.95/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.03
+19% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
408 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 78%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
24.4 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vikingur R.
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
409 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
05.05.2025 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-2 HT 2-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
30.06.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-1 HT 2-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
15.04.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-0 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
03.09.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-3 HT 1-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
11.06.2023 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 3-1 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vikingur R.
2-1
AWAY Fram Reykjavik
2.20 xG 0.56
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
475 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. edged past Fram Reykjavik 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Vikingur R. had 65% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 35%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 2.20 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vikingur R.'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.33 for Fram Reykjavik.

What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Vikingur R. 2-1 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Fram Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 64%, draw 19%, Fram Reykjavik 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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