KA Akureyri 4-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.96
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.33
No
46%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.98
2-3 Goals
42%
2.17
4-5 Goals
23%
2.3
6+ Goals
13%
4.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
47%
+8.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.7pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
71%
-16.9pp
46%
BTTS No
29%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.74/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.88
-29% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
26.0 Crosses 20.8
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
1W-3D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
248 Passes 341
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.07.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
06.04.2025 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-2 HT 2-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
06.10.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-4 HT 0-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
29.07.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
05.05.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
24.06.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 2-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
4-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.44 xG 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
201 Passes 396
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri saw off KR Reykjavik 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 37% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 63%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.44 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.00 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

KA Akureyri 4-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 55%, draw 20%, KR Reykjavik 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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