Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Khalidiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.29
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.2
6+ Goals
7%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 27% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
18%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Manama EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.00
+12% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Khalidiya
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 5-2 HT 4-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAHSK
14.04.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
29.03.2025 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 1-1 HT 1-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
02.04.2024 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
08.10.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 7-1 HT 4-0 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama BAH
02.03.2023 Al Ahli Manama Al Ahli Manama 0-3 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Manama
0-1
AWAY Khalidiya
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya edged past Al Ahli Manama 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Ahli Manama had 42% of the ball to Khalidiya's 58%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahli Manama and 3.17 for Khalidiya.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Al Ahli Manama 0-1 Khalidiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Manama vs Khalidiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Manama 15%, draw 27%, Khalidiya 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✓ Under 2.5
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