Al Shabab Manama 0-3 Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
8%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 33% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
16%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+3.8pp
61%
Away Win
64%
-2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Muharraq EU Bookmakers 69%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.42/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/0.77
+57% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
203 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Muharraq
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
27.02.2025 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAHKK
22.09.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
15.04.2024 Muharraq Muharraq 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
18.03.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 2-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAHK
28.10.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 3-2 HT 2-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
0-3
AWAY Muharraq
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq cruised past Al Shabab Manama 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 36% of the ball to Muharraq's 64%, shots finished 4-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 2.17 for Muharraq.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Al Shabab Manama 0-3 Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 15%, draw 24%, Muharraq 61%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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