Motagua 0-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
21%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
32%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
53%
+7.1pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.7pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.9pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motagua EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.77/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.69
-1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motagua
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Juticalpa
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.04.2025 Motagua Motagua 5-1 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
13.02.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-3 HT 0-1 Motagua Motagua HON
25.11.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-3 HT 1-0 Motagua Motagua HON
19.09.2024 Motagua Motagua 3-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Motagua vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motagua and Juticalpa fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Motagua at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Motagua had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Motagua and 0.50 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Motagua 0-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motagua vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motagua win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Motagua 60%, draw 19%, Juticalpa 21%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Motagua) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
21 Sep 2025
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