Tromsö 1-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.18
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.61
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.1
X/1
25%
3.69
X/2
6%
15.5
X/X
9%
6.55
2/1
10%
22.35
2/2
6%
13.65
2/X
6%
22.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
69%
-3.9pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.5pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/2.05
-40% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
21.1 Crosses 17.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HamKam
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
427 Passes 307
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 HamKam HamKam 1-3 HT 0-2 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
03.11.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 3-3 HT 1-2 HamKam HamKam NOR
07.07.2024 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.03.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 HamKam HamKam HAZ
17.09.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 2-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
13.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 1-2 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-0
AWAY HamKam
1.56 xG 0.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
497 Passes 360
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö squeezed past HamKam 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 56% of the ball to HamKam's 44%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.56 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tromsö and 1.17 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs HamKam?

Tromsö 1-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 65%, draw 20%, HamKam 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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