Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stromsgodset v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals
Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Stromsgodset
NOR
5-2
HT 3-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-1
HT 2-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Stromsgodset 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics
Stromsgodset nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Sarpsborg 08 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (64%) came in.
On the day, Stromsgodset had 42% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 58%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.97 to 1.04.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stromsgodset had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Stromsgodset and 1.33 for Sarpsborg 08.
What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08?
Stromsgodset 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Sarpsborg 08?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 35%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08) went the other way.