Viking 1-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 21 Sep 2025

Viking
1-0 HT 0-0
Molde
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Viking vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.7
2-3 Goals
39%
2.06
4-5 Goals
26%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.55
X/2
7%
9.42
X/X
14%
6.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
18.7
2/2
10%
6.35
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.7 — our 10% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.1pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viking v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.08/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.52
+26% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
26.4 Crosses 11.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Viking vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Molde
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.42 xG 1.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 377
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.06.2025 Molde Molde 0-1 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
28.07.2024 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 0-0 Molde Molde NOR
02.06.2024 Molde Molde 2-2 HT 1-1 Viking Viking NOR
01.10.2023 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 2-0 Viking Viking NOR
04.06.2023 Viking Viking 3-4 HT 1-2 Molde Molde NOR
30.10.2022 Viking Viking 1-4 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR

Viking 1-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-0
AWAY Molde
2.46 xG 2.11
51% Ball Possession 49%
29 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 5
366 Passes 372
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
50 Box Touches 22
34 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viking vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking edged past Molde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 51% of the ball to Molde's 49%, shots finished 29-20, expected goals 2.46 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viking and 2.33 for Molde.

What was the final score of Viking vs Molde?

Viking 1-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Viking 52%, draw 25%, Molde 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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