Melgar vs Cultural San Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v Cultural San — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs Cultural San Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Melgar 6-1 Cultural San — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar cruised past Cultural San 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Melgar had 59% of the ball to Cultural San's 41%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.42 to 1.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Melgar had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melgar and 1.00 for Cultural San.
What was the final score of Melgar vs Cultural San?
Melgar 6-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs Cultural San?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Melgar 67%, draw 20%, Cultural San 13%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.