UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Universitario — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
1-0
HT 1-0
Universitario
PER
1-1
HT 0-1
Universitario
PER
UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Universitario — Actual Match Statistics
Universitario edged past UTC Cajamarca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 43% of the ball to Universitario's 57%, shots finished 8-28, expected goals 0.42 to 3.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitario's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.83 for Universitario.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Universitario in the Peru - Premier League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario?
Before kick-off our model rated an Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 13%, draw 18%, Universitario 69%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.