AD Fornos Algodres 3-1 Charneca Caparica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Fornos Algodres EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charneca Caparica EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH AD Fornos Algodres vs Charneca Caparica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Fornos Algodres beat Charneca Caparica 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AD Fornos Algodres as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

What was the final score of AD Fornos Algodres vs Charneca Caparica?

AD Fornos Algodres 3-1 Charneca Caparica in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Fornos Algodres vs Charneca Caparica?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Fornos Algodres win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AD Fornos Algodres 42%, draw 23%, Charneca Caparica 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Fornos Algodres), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AD Fornos Algodres) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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