Celoricense vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celoricense v Mafra — Team-Based Signals
Celoricense 1-0 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics
Celoricense squeezed past Mafra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mafra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celoricense had 39% of the ball to Mafra's 61%, shots finished 8-11.
What was the final score of Celoricense vs Mafra?
Celoricense 1-0 Mafra in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celoricense vs Mafra?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celoricense 28%, draw 21%, Mafra 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.