Comercio Industria 4-2 Salgueiros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
53%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.8
Over 2.5
55%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.76
No
41%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
33%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
27%
-3.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
53%
Away Win
46%
+7.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
47%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comercio Industria EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Salgueiros EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -75%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Comercio Industria vs Salgueiros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Comercio Industria beat Salgueiros 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Salgueiros at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Comercio Industria vs Salgueiros?

Comercio Industria 4-2 Salgueiros in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comercio Industria vs Salgueiros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salgueiros win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Comercio Industria 23%, draw 24%, Salgueiros 53%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Salgueiros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salgueiros) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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