Fazendense 1-2 Mirandela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.71
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fazendense EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandela EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
184 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 450 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fazendense
1-2
AWAY Mirandela
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fazendense vs Mirandela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandela squeezed past Fazendense 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mirandela as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Fazendense had 47% of the ball to Mirandela's 53%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Fazendense vs Mirandela?

Fazendense 1-2 Mirandela in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fazendense vs Mirandela?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mirandela win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Fazendense 22%, draw 18%, Mirandela 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandela), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mirandela) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POK More Portugal - Cup
21 Sep 2025
00:00 Ança vs FC Vinhais Analysis →
00:00 Vila Caíz vs Electrico Analysis →
00:00 Cultural Correlha vs Torreense Analysis →
00:00 SC Espinho vs Almodovar Analysis →
12:30 Sao Joao Ver vs Vidigueira Analysis →
13:00 Alpendorada vs Calheta Analysis →