Lusitano Évora 1911 vs FC Serpa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitano Évora 1911 v FC Serpa — Team-Based Signals
Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 FC Serpa — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitano Évora 1911 edged past FC Serpa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 59% of the ball to FC Serpa's 41%, shots finished 13-6.
What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs FC Serpa?
Lusitano Évora 1911 1-0 FC Serpa in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs FC Serpa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 59%, draw 19%, FC Serpa 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.