Machico vs Vila Real Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Machico v Vila Real — Team-Based Signals
Machico 0-2 Vila Real — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Real got the better of Machico 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Machico at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, Machico had 55% of the ball to Vila Real's 45%, shots finished 11-6.
What was the final score of Machico vs Vila Real?
Machico 0-2 Vila Real in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Machico vs Vila Real?
Before kick-off our model rated a Machico win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Machico 41%, draw 29%, Vila Real 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Machico) went the other way.