Marinhense 6-0 Mosteirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.22
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.27
No
45%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
78%
-7.8pp
16%
Draw
16%
+0.5pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
40%
+14.7pp
45%
BTTS No
60%
-14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marinhense EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosteirense EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marinhense
6-0
AWAY Mosteirense
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marinhense vs Mosteirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marinhense ran out comfortable winners over Mosteirense 6-0. Half-time: 5-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marinhense as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Marinhense had 71% of the ball to Mosteirense's 29%, shots finished 19-4.

What was the final score of Marinhense vs Mosteirense?

Marinhense 6-0 Mosteirense in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marinhense vs Mosteirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marinhense win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Marinhense 70%, draw 16%, Mosteirense 14%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marinhense), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marinhense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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