Moncarapachense 1-1 Anadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moncarapachense EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Anadia EU Bookmakers 39%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+45% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +36%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moncarapachense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Anadia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
11.10.2020 Moncarapachense 1-2 HT 1-1 Anadia Anadia POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moncarapachense
1-1
AWAY Anadia
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moncarapachense vs Anadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moncarapachense and Anadia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Moncarapachense had 49% of the ball to Anadia's 51%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Moncarapachense vs Anadia?

Moncarapachense 1-1 Anadia in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moncarapachense vs Anadia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moncarapachense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Moncarapachense 36%, draw 31%, Anadia 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Moncarapachense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moncarapachense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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