Os Limianos 0-4 Vila Mea — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Os Limianos EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Mea EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Os Limianos vs Vila Mea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Mea ran out comfortable winners over Os Limianos 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Os Limianos at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Os Limianos vs Vila Mea?

Os Limianos 0-4 Vila Mea in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Os Limianos vs Vila Mea?

Before kick-off our model rated a Os Limianos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Os Limianos 44%, draw 26%, Vila Mea 29%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Os Limianos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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