Peniche vs Dezembro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Peniche v Dezembro — Team-Based Signals
Peniche 4-5 Dezembro — Actual Match Statistics
Dezembro squeezed past Peniche 5-4 away from home. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 9-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Dezembro as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.
On the day, Peniche had 44% of the ball to Dezembro's 56%, shots finished 18-11.
Peniche vs Dezembro Result & Final Score
Peniche 4 - 5 Dezembro in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Peniche vs Dezembro Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Peniche 32%, draw 26%, Dezembro 42%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dezembro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.