Peniche vs Dezembro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Peniche v Dezembro — Team-Based Signals
Peniche 4-5 Dezembro — Actual Match Statistics
Dezembro squeezed past Peniche 5-4 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Peniche had 44% of the ball to Dezembro's 56%, shots finished 18-11.
What was the final score of Peniche vs Dezembro?
Peniche 4-5 Dezembro in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Peniche vs Dezembro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Peniche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Peniche 40%, draw 23%, Dezembro 37%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peniche), Under 2.5 went the other way.