Rebordelo 2-2 Gouveia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rebordelo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Gouveia EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rebordelo
2-2
AWAY Gouveia
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 31
8 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rebordelo vs Gouveia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rebordelo and Gouveia shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Gouveia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rebordelo had 39% of the ball to Gouveia's 61%, shots finished 14-31.

What was the final score of Rebordelo vs Gouveia?

Rebordelo 2-2 Gouveia in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rebordelo vs Gouveia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gouveia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Rebordelo 29%, draw 28%, Gouveia 43%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gouveia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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