Sacavenense 2-4 Uniao De Leiria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
12.23
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
60%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.95
Over 2.5
57%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.53
No
47%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
6%
+16.5pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.2pp
60%
Away Win
76%
-15.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
36%
+17.4pp
47%
BTTS No
64%
-17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacavenense EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao De Leiria EU Bookmakers 79%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.00/7.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.00
+40% / -69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacavenense
2-4
AWAY Uniao De Leiria
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sacavenense vs Uniao De Leiria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao De Leiria saw off Sacavenense 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uniao De Leiria as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sacavenense had 44% of the ball to Uniao De Leiria's 56%, shots finished 10-16.

What was the final score of Sacavenense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Sacavenense 2-4 Uniao De Leiria in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacavenense vs Uniao De Leiria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uniao De Leiria win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sacavenense 23%, draw 17%, Uniao De Leiria 60%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao De Leiria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uniao De Leiria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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