Uniao Lamas 2-1 Malveira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.52
Over 2.5
49%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.03
No
42%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
37%
+9.7pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
45%
+12.3pp
42%
BTTS No
55%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Lamas EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Malveira EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Lamas
2-1
AWAY Malveira
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Uniao Lamas vs Malveira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Lamas edged past Malveira 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uniao Lamas as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Uniao Lamas had 50% of the ball to Malveira's 50%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Uniao Lamas vs Malveira?

Uniao Lamas 2-1 Malveira in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Lamas vs Malveira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Lamas win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uniao Lamas 47%, draw 26%, Malveira 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uniao Lamas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uniao Lamas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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