Vila Caíz 3-2 Eléctrico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
19%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
19%
Away Win
26%
-7.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vila Caíz EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Eléctrico EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vila Caíz
3-2
AWAY Eléctrico
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vila Caíz vs Eléctrico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vila Caíz nicked a narrow win over Eléctrico 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vila Caíz as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vila Caíz had 50% of the ball to Eléctrico's 50%, shots finished 12-7.

What was the final score of Vila Caíz vs Eléctrico?

Vila Caíz 3-2 Eléctrico in the Portugal - Cup on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vila Caíz vs Eléctrico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Caíz win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vila Caíz 55%, draw 26%, Eléctrico 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Caíz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vila Caíz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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