Queretaro vs Leon Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Mexico - Primera, 21 Sep 2026

📅21/09/2026 · 🕒05:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.28
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.68
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.17
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
206 Passes 459
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2026 Queretaro Queretaro 2-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
31.08.2025 Leon Leon 3-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
05.04.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
27.10.2024 Leon Leon 4-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
07.04.2024 Leon Leon 0-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
30.09.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Leon Leon MEK
PREVIEW Queretaro vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Neither Queretaro nor Leon earn a real lean from the model — expect a game decided by fine details.

Both teams have scored in 4 of Queretaro's last 5 home league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Queretaro against 1.50 for Leon.

Queretaro vs Leon Kick-off Time

Queretaro play Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 21/09/2026, kick-off 05:05 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Queretaro vs Leon Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Queretaro vs Leon is a Queretaro win at about 39% probability, priced 2.28 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Queretaro 39%, draw 26%, Leon 35%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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