Leon vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
0-3
HT 0-2
Leon
MEK
3-1
HT 2-1
Queretaro
MEK
Leon 3-0 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics
Leon cruised past Queretaro 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leon as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Leon had 70% of the ball to Queretaro's 30%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.96 to 0.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leon and 0.83 for Queretaro.
What was the final score of Leon vs Queretaro?
Leon 3-0 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Queretaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Leon 58%, draw 24%, Queretaro 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.