Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 1-2 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Guadalajara 2-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cruz Azul as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Guadalajara had 61% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 39%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.36 to 0.75 — on chances, Guadalajara could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guadalajara and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
Guadalajara 1-2 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 32%, draw 24%, Cruz Azul 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.