El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
3-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
El Nacional 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca saw off El Nacional 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Cuenca as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, El Nacional had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.67 to 0.88.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for El Nacional and 1.50 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca?
El Nacional 0-2 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 32%, draw 22%, Deportivo Cuenca 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.