FC Oss 1-1 Ajax II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.1
2-3 Goals
35%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
17%
6.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.44
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
10%
8.18
X/X
9%
6.18
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.95
2/2
15%
5.32
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.95 — our 9% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax II EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.12/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.55
-26% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
20.3 Crosses 12.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ajax II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.29
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
214 Passes 526
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Ajax II Ajax II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.12.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
16.02.2024 FC Oss FC Oss 2-1 HT 2-0 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
24.11.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
06.03.2023 Ajax II Ajax II 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
09.09.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-1 HT 0-1 Ajax II Ajax II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-1
AWAY Ajax II
1.50 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
320 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Ajax II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Oss and Ajax II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Oss at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, FC Oss had 47% of the ball to Ajax II's 53%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.50 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Oss had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Oss and 0.83 for Ajax II.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Ajax II?

FC Oss 1-1 Ajax II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Ajax II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Oss win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 47%, draw 22%, Ajax II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Oss), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Oss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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