Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.3pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -18%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.59
-5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.6 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Helmond Sport
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 1.08
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
347 Passes 360
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.05.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
06.12.2024 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
02.02.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
18.08.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.04.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.12.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-0
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.47 xG 1.70
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 365
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch squeezed past Helmond Sport 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Den Bosch as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Den Bosch had 44% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Den Bosch and 0.67 for Helmond Sport.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?

Den Bosch 1-0 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Helmond Sport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 43%, draw 24%, Helmond Sport 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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