VVV-Venlo 0-1 Utrecht II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Oct 2025

📅21/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.7pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VVV-Venlo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 27%
-11% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
-30% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
22.9 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Utrecht II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
360 Passes 344
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2025 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
13.09.2024 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 3-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
15.01.2024 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-0 HT 0-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
25.08.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 4-1 HT 2-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
19.05.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
02.09.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
0-1
AWAY Utrecht II
1.29 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
424 Passes 291
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II squeezed past VVV-Venlo 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. VVV-Venlo carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, VVV-Venlo had 58% of the ball to Utrecht II's 42%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.29 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for VVV-Venlo and 0.83 for Utrecht II.

What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II?

VVV-Venlo 0-1 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II?

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 58%, draw 23%, Utrecht II 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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