VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VVV-Venlo v Utrecht II — Team-Based Signals
VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Utrecht II
HOL2
1-1
HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
2-3
HT 1-2
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Utrecht II
HOL2
VVV-Venlo 3-2 Utrecht II — Actual Match Statistics
VVV-Venlo squeezed past Utrecht II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, shots finished 14-–, expected goals 1.57 to 0.00 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold VVV-Venlo's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for VVV-Venlo and 1.17 for Utrecht II.
What was the final score of VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II?
VVV-Venlo 3-2 Utrecht II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VVV-Venlo vs Utrecht II?
Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 46%, draw 26%, Utrecht II 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.