Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Botafogo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Nov 2024

Atletico Mineiro
0-0 HT 0-0
Botafogo
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.11
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
10%
7.28
X/2
18%
4.27
X/X
17%
3.89
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.89
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Botafogo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.69/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.02
+33% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 84%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
13.7 Crosses 19.7
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Botafogo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 Passes 320
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.07.2024 Botafogo Botafogo 3-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
17.09.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
08.05.2023 Botafogo Botafogo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
08.11.2022 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 0-2 HT 0-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1
18.07.2022 Botafogo Botafogo 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
26.11.2020 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-1 HT 1-0 Botafogo Botafogo BR1

Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Botafogo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-0
AWAY Botafogo
0.09 xG 2.05
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 27
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 11
165 Passes 465
71% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 35
5 Crosses 48
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Mineiro and Botafogo played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Botafogo at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 29% of the ball to Botafogo's 71%, shots finished 3-27, expected goals 0.09 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 1.33 for Botafogo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Botafogo in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Botafogo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botafogo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 29%, draw 29%, Botafogo 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Botafogo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Botafogo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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