Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 21 Nov 2024

Cuiaba
1-2 HT 0-0
Flamengo
📅21/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.47
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.73
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
11%
7.63
X/2
11%
4.0
X/X
9%
3.87
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.75
2/X
8%
15.8
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.73 — our 17% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
24%
+9.7pp
23%
Draw
28%
-4.5pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-5.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 52%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.32
-9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
19.2 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Cuiaba vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Flamengo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
254 Passes 519
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.07.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 1-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
03.12.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 2-1 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
07.08.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 3-0 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
09.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
16.06.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
18.10.2021 Flamengo Flamengo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-2
AWAY Flamengo
0.39 xG 1.97
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
226 Passes 457
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Cuiaba 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuiaba had 36% of the ball to Flamengo's 64%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.39 to 1.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cuiaba and 1.17 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Flamengo?

Cuiaba 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 21/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 33%, draw 23%, Flamengo 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flamengo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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