Cardiff MU 2-1 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 21 Nov 2025

📅21/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
67%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
14%
-0.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
67%
Away Win
67%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff MU EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
1W-0D-5L
AWAY The New Saints
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.11.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 2-3 HT 0-2 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
19.09.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-3 HT 1-3 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
22.03.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-6 HT 0-2 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
01.02.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 1-1 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
14.01.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 0-2 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.11.2024 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 1-3 HT 1-2 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
POST-MATCH Cardiff MU vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff MU edged past The New Saints 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had The New Saints at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff MU and 3.17 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Cardiff MU 2-1 The New Saints in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 21/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff MU vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 13%, draw 20%, The New Saints 67%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (The New Saints) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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