Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 21 Dec 2024

Forest Green Rovers
1-1 HT 0-1
Aldershot Town
📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.74
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.85
X/1
15%
3.59
X/2
7%
14.4
X/X
13%
6.49
2/1
10%
22.55
2/2
7%
11.45
2/X
6%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.2pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Aldershot Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +5%
1.79/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.90
-7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
187 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 150 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aldershot Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.08.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-3 HT 2-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
05.11.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
04.10.2016 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-4 HT 0-4 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
25.03.2016 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
07.10.2015 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-3 HT 0-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
03.04.2015 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 1-3 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Aldershot Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
1-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers and Aldershot Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Forest Green Rovers at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 50% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.17 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town?

Forest Green Rovers 1-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 54%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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