Bath City 3-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.78
Over
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No Pick
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.88
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
25%
3.64
6+
7%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.53
+2% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
438 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aveley
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.11.2023 Bath City Bath City 3-0 HT 2-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
3-0
AWAY Aveley
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City cruised past Aveley 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bath City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bath City had 53% of the ball to Aveley's 47%, shots finished 7-3.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Aveley?

Bath City 3-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bath City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bath City 42%, draw 24%, Aveley 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bath City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bath City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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