Chesham United 0-5 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
35%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
1.91
Over
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.28
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
26%
3.27
6+
9%
12.25
Value flag · 4-5 at 3.27 — our 26% vs market 23.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.0pp
35%
Away Win
42%
-7.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.51
+55% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesham United
0-5
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers swept aside Chesham United 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Dorking Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chesham United had 34% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 66%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Chesham United 0-5 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 34%, draw 31%, Dorking Wanderers 35%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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