Chorley 2-1 Rushall Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.9
Over
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.2
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.32
6+
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.2 — our 25% vs market 24.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Chorley win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Rushall Olympic The Market 18%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
2.12/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.07
+15% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Rushall Olympic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Chorley Chorley 2-1 HT 2-1 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic İCON
21.10.2023 Rushall Olympic Rushall Olympic 5-0 HT 2-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
2-1
AWAY Rushall Olympic
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Rushall Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley squeezed past Rushall Olympic 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chorley had 49% of the ball to Rushall Olympic's 51%, shots finished 17-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chorley and 3.00 for Rushall Olympic.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Rushall Olympic?

Chorley 2-1 Rushall Olympic in the England - Conference on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Rushall Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Chorley 52%, draw 27%, Rushall Olympic 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Over 2.5
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